"Quiet Edge team on Alpaca AI Trading Agents Hackathon Hackathon"
Team Idea
Prediction markets say what people think will happen. Options say what that uncertainty costs. Quiet Edge trades the disagreement. We are building Event Delta, an autonomous macro-options agent for Alpaca. It reads live probability ladders for jobs, inflation and rates, converts them into an outcome distribution, and learns how SPY, QQQ and TLT react to each surprise. It compares that distribution with the move implied by Alpaca's live option chain. If the gap survives spreads, stale quotes and liquidity checks, the agent places a defined-risk multi-leg trade through Alpaca. Otherwise it sits out and records the rejection in a shadow book. Our final live test is the September 4 US jobs report, released 2.5 hours before the hackathon closes. The dashboard shows the event curve, option-implied curve, chosen payoff, maximum loss and realized result. No sentiment wrapper. No magic stock picker. One falsifiable idea: trade when two markets disagree about the same event.
Team Members
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Abai Bakasov
drsk
Submission
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