RiskCourt: Options Alpha Jury

RiskCourt is an autonomous, paper-only options agent built as an AI prediction market. Independent jurors study market structure, catalysts, and volatility/options structure, then return evidence-bound probability forecasts and confidence stakes. A deterministic calibration layer aggregates those forecasts and compares the result with a defined-risk spread's option-payoff break-even proxy. The risk court trades only when the jury probability clears the hurdle by a configured margin and every freshness, liquidity, account, drawdown, approval, and idempotency gate passes. The MVP allows one contract and caps loss at 0.5% of account equity. Recorded mode replays twelve credential-free cases, including trade, abstain, veto, provider failure, stale data, disagreement, and prompt-injection paths. Alpaca Trading API adapters provide paper account, market-data, option-chain, order-mapping, lifecycle, and P&L boundaries. Paper performance is simulated, not live performance or investment advice; options involve substantial risk.